We finally had some semblance of normalcy in the NFL during Week 4, as favorites went 9-7 against the spread, marking their first winning week of the 2021 NFL season. However, there were still many surprising results, including outright wins by the Giants and Darryl Strawberry Jersey Jets and a victory by the Cardinals that left them as the NFL's lone unbeaten team.That said, things are starting to level out after a crazy start to the season. The NFL is still full of parity and underdogs will continue to pull off upsets on a week-to-week basis. But the better teams will continue to emerge the further we get into each season.MORE: We're now a month into the NFL season and bettors should be excited at using the collection of data that they now have to influence their decisions. That entails keeping an eye online movements, shifting odds, trends and injuries. The gamblers that do that will come out on top more often than not.At (roughly) the quarter-pole of the season, it's also OK to start taking the records of teams into accounts. There are still some pretenders disguised as contenders out there, but generally speaking, the teams that are 0-4 can be considered bad. The ones that are 3-1 or 4-0 can generally be considered good.Of course, that's just one factor in the analysis. There are still ways to spot overrated teams by looking at past results, personnel advantages and more. So, don't just blindly trust the teams with the best record. It doesn't always work.Here's a look at Sporting News' best bets for Week 5of the 2021 NFL season, including picks against the spread, moneyline bets, over/under wagers and some player props.JUMP TO: | | | NFL best bets Week 5(All odds are courtesy of .)Bills (+3) at ChiefsThe Bills have shaken off the rust after a slow start to the year on offense. Now, they will have a chance to continue their dominance against a weak defense.The Chiefs stopped their two-game losing Jed Lowrie Jersey skid against the Eagles last week, but they still surrendered 30 points in that game. Theyare allowing an average of 31.3 points per game on the season.Meanwhile, the Bills have been excellent on offense in recent weeks and are scoring an average of 39.3 points per game during that span. That includes two shutout wins over the Dolphins (35-0) and Texans (40-0).Buffalo isn't likely to keep that up against Patrick Mahomes, but they at least have thepersonnel needed to make stops on defense. They are forcing an average of 2.5 punts per every offensive score that they allow. That ranks first in the NFL. The Chiefs rank last in that category with 0.3 punts forced per offensive score.If the Chiefs and their 22nd-ranked third-down defense can't get the Bills off the field, then Buffalo will have a good chance to keep this one close and po sibly win. As such, getting them as a field-goal underdog is a good value. They have the talent needed to stay level with the Chiefs even in front of a hostile Arrowhead Stadium crowd.Patriots (-8.5) at TexansThe Texans played well in two games to begin the 2021 NFL season. However, without Tyrod Taylor, they have been completely lost.Houston has failed to cover the spread in either of the games that Taylor hasn't started after covering in each of the first two. Davis Mills has proven to be an ineffective replacement for Taylor and the Texans' offense has sputtered badly as a result of his performance.Texans per-game averages with Davis Mills startingPoints4.5Total Yards151Turnovers2.5The Texans are facing a Patriots defense that has allowed the fourth-fewest pa sing yards per game Matt Harvey Jersey (185) and the sixth-fewest points per game (17.5) this season. They just held Tom Brady to zero touchdown pa ses and the high-flying Buccaneers' offense scored just 19 points.Mac Jones has proven to be a solid starting quarterback so far and the Patriots are better than their 1-3 record would indicate. They would have beaten the Dolphins Week 1 if not for a late Damien Harris fumble and they very nearlybeat the Bucs last week in a game where few gave them a chance to compete. Thus, they're far superior to this reeling Texans team.The Patriots should be able to win and cover against Houston. They have a 10-3 record against Houston all-time, but they have lost the last two meetings. It's safe to say that Bill Belichick will want revenge for those defeats and will want his team to bounce back after a tough lo s against Brady's Bucs.MORE: Broncos (+1.5) at SteelersThis game figures to be a hardcore defensive struggle. The Broncos are coming off a 16-point lo s to the Ravens during which they lost their starting quarterback, Teddy Bridgewater. He may not be able to play in Week 5, but Denver may still be a solid bet.The Steelers have struggled immensely so far this year on offense. They haven't been able Jay Bruce Jersey to score much at all and are averaging just 16.8 points per game this year. That's tied for the fourth-worst in the NFL.The Broncos have a strong defense. They are allowing just 12.3 points per game the second-fewest in the NFL, and they should be able to give Ben Roethlisberger some trouble this week.Roethlisberger is dealing with an injured pec and now also has an injured hip. He's 39, so those injuries could hamper his downfield throwing ability. His offensive line hasn't played well this season either, so that will limit his time to make decisions and plays within the pocket.Pittsburgh's offense should struggle against Denver. Even if Drew Lock starts at quarterback and has i sues of his own, the Broncos should be positioned to win this one, especially if they get back one or two of the offensive linemen that mi sed their last game (Graham Glasgow and Dalton Risner). Feel free to trust them and to continue fading the Steelers. Best NFL moneyline bets Week 5Browns moneyline (+102) atChargersThe Chargers are favored by 1.5 points in this game as of this writing. They are coming off back-to-back wins against the Chiefs and the Raiders, s it's natural that they would be considered slightly better than the Browns.That said, the Chargers have yet to face a defense like that of the Browns. Cleveland has allowed the second-fewest yards in the league and has limited each of its last two opponents to single-digit point totals. They have recorded 25 QB hits and 11 sacks during that span and may be able to take advantage of a weak link on the Chargers' offensive line.Right tackle Bryan Bulaga is on IR due to groin and back injuries, and that has thrust Storm Travis D'Arnaud Jersey Norton into action. Norton has allowed 18 pre sures and six QB hits in 248 snaps for the Chargers. He ranks 69th out of 73 qualified offensive tackles, per . Cleveland will surely look to attack him with Myles Garrett and Jadeveon Clowney.Herbert may be able to negate that pre sure by throwing quickly, as he has done this season, but he could also make some mistakes. And it's worth noting that when he faced the defenses of Dallas and Washington earlier in the year, he threw an in