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Numbers that Matter Auburn at Mississippi State
Its the weekly game of the year in the SEC, and this weeks showcase showdown features No. 2 Auburn (5-0) and No. 3 Mi si sippi State (5-0).The defending SEC champions beat the Bulldogs 24-20 last season when Nick Marshall threw a 11-yard TD pa s to C Tae Davis Jersey .J. Uzomah with 10 seconds left.Theres just as much if not more on the line this time around. Will Auburn continue its run to another SEC championship? Or will the Bulldogs win their third straight game against a top-10 team and stake a claim as the top team in the country.MORE: | | Lets go to the Numbers that Matter:Series historyAuburn and Mi si sippi State first met in 1905, and the Tigers control the series 58-26-3. The schools have met every year since 1937. Mi si sippi State coach Dan Mullen is 1-4 against Auburn.Marquee matchupsThis marks only the fifth matchup when both teams are ranked in the AP Top 25. A look at the previous matchups:2000: No. 20 Mi si sippi State 17, No. 15 Auburn 101986: No. 7 Auburn 35, No. 14 Mi si sippi State 61957: No. 3 Auburn 15, No. 17 Mi si sippi State 71955: No. 14 Auburn 27, No. 20 Mi si sippi State 26LINEMAKERS: Signature game: No. 20 Mi si sippi State 17, No. 15 Auburn 10Get ready for replays of this game, the only time both teams were ranked in Starkville. The Bulldogs built a 17-0 halftime lead and held on by limiting Rudi Johnson to 18 carries for 25 yards. Dicenzo Miller had 136 rushing yards for the Bulldogs.Signature game: No. 3 Auburn 15, No. 17 Mi si sippi State 7The Bulldogs led 7-0 at halftime, the only time the Tigers trailed all season, but linebacker Jackie Burkett forced a safety on a punt, which gave Auburn the lead Reggie Robinson II Jersey for good. The Tigers went on to win the national championship.Heisman hopeful: Dak Prescott, QB, Mi si sippi StatePrescott is the hottest quarterback in the nation; hes totaled 536 pa sing yards, 182 rushing yards and nine total TDs in back-to-back wins against Texas A&M and LSU the Anthony Miller Jersey last three weeks. Prescott gave Auburn fits last year with 213 pa sing yards, 133 rushing yards and two TDs, but he completed just 53.6 percent of his pa ses. Prescott will have to be more efficient in the air this time.MORE: Spotlight player: Nick Marshall, QB, AuburnMarshall is the other Heisman hopeful in this game; and hes 4-1 on the road as a starter. Marshall, however, has completed just 53.9 percent of his pa ses with a 6:4 TD:INT ratio in those games. Marshall did enough to beat No. 20 Kansas State on the road on Sept. 18.MORE: Spotlight player: Jameon Lewis, WR, Mi si sippi StateLewis didnt play against Texas A&M because of a leg injury, but the senior receiver who also is used on jet sweeps hinted at a return this week. That would open up lanes for leading rusher Josh Robinson, who averages 7.6 yards per carry.On the spot: Auburn receiversTexas A&Ms receivers struggled with catching the football last week against the Bulldogs. Auburn has four receivers who average at least 15.0 yards per catch in Dhaquille Williams, Sammie Coates, Quan Bray and Melvin Ray. Theyll have their chances in the deep pa sing game. Hold on to the ball.Key matchup: Reese Dismukes vs. Benardrick McKinneyAuburn needs to establish the run, and 6-foot-5, 245-pound middle linebacker Benardrick McKinney is a roadblock. He leads the Bulldogs with 36 tackles and has added 3.0 sacks. Dismukes is the lone senior on Auburns offensive line. Both will have to make the right calls, especially with NFL scouts watching.MORE NUMBERS: Stat that matters: Fourth-quarter scoringAuburn outscoresopponents 62-14 in the fourth quarter this season. Mi si sippi State, meanwhile, has been outscored 40-17 in the fourth quarter. The Bulldogs might want to have the lead, especially given what happened last season.MORE: In-game trend: The red zone The Tigers have scored every time theyve reached the red zone this season, and they are the only team in the FBS with more than 20 red-zone trips to do that. Desmond King II Jersey Mi si sippi States defense, meanwhile, has the second-best red zone defense. Teams have scored on just 7-of-13 trips. This is where the game will be decided.Did you know?Auburn hasnt scored a rushing TD in the last two meetings with the Bulldogs. The Tigers averaged just 2.3 yards per carry in a lo s in 2012 and 3.3 yards per carry in last years win. That wont be Darius Anderson Jersey good enough this time around. Cameron Artis-Payne does average 5.4 yards per carry for Auburn.Bottom lineWill Christopher Walken be the guest picker on GameDay for this one?Its going to be loud, its going to be live, and it has all the makings of another SEC cla sic. While the odds favor Mi si sippi State, the dry-run against Kansas State might actually be the difference for Auburn. The quarterback that makes more plays with his arm likely will be the winner.We'll give the slight edge to Marshall. The Tigers receivers make a few big plays, and Auburn maintains its spot atop the SEC West perhaps in last-minute fashion again.
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